Thursday, June 16, 2016

ET Phone Home

Is there Intelligent Life Out There


Just as a pleasant diversion I thought I'd bring up a subject that has been debated for a very long time. Whatever your own beliefs, I would hope you find this brief discussion fun.

The first question should not be if there is intelligent life out there in space, but whether or not there is any life at all besides our own Earth. To answer that one we would have to do some basic math.

There are an estimated 400 billion stars in just our Milky Way Galaxy, so we'll call that our own neighborhood or back yard...ok? So arbitrarily speaking, if only a tiny fraction of 1 percent of all those stars have orbiting planets capable of sustaining life as we know it (organic life, carbon based), let's say one one hundredth of one percent, then the answer we want is...400,000,000,000 times .0001, or 40 million planets that "might" have some kind of life on them. Now by any one's estimate, that is one heck of alot of maybes...

Okay then, we have established that it is likely that life exists elsewhere. Now comes the next logical question...is there intelligent life out there? To answer that we need to stick to our statistical mathematics and use a more complex equation, right? Don't worry, a man named Frank Drake did the thinking for us. Back in 1961 he came up with an equation to determine the probability of intelligent aliens living out there in the galaxy. It was never proposed as an exact mathematical model, but more as a reason to actually start thinking about the possibilities. To this day there is a huge scientific debate on the real value of Drake's equation. I won't throw the actual equation at you, but the lowest of the  original estimated number of planets that could have intelligent life was 1000. Don't go jumping on me, that number is only a very crude statistical probability...and begs the obvious question...

How intelligent is intelligent? Of those 1000 potential homes for ET, how many of the aliens are advanced enough to even get off their own planet, let alone get all the way to ours...remember, we are pretty intelligent and advanced, but we still have a real hard time just exploring our own solar system.

Thanks for putting up with my blurb. Sometime in the future I'll post my own thoughts on UFO's and alien contact/invasions, heh heh.

The World is Crumbling

...and Trump is the Architect


Now why would I talk down about The Donald again so soon, you might ask. Well, obviously he is the top story on all the media. Not a single day goes by without another news story popping up, describing one more absurdly idiotic comment issuing forth from his orifice. You can't hide from it, no matter where you might try to distance yourself from his plague. Well, maybe in the middle of the Gobi Desert perhaps. Or Death Valley maybe, but those solutions carry their own forms of punishment too.

The problem with Trump is not that he exists at all, but rather that he possesses a weird sort of power over each of us in our daily lives, if not the entire world itself. Yes, I said power. At this moment, when you strip away all the news coverage,Donald Trump is still a nobody. He has not attained that lofty Oval Office, yet he carries himself as if he had already moved in. Just yesterday he told the entire GOP flat out to "Be Quiet, just be quiet...or I will do this alone!" That, my friends, is an ultimatum. The words he spoke carry the power over others, specifically the Republican party and literally all of his voting base. He is immersed in his own private war with anyone who does not immediately agree with him. He declared the war himself last year, when he first announced his claim on the mythical throne of ultimate power, and his antics have directly affected every one of us ever since.

At first everyone treated his candidacy as a distraction, even a joke of some kind. Pundits from all over the spectrum said he had no chance. Then, as the tirades and personal insults began to fly, more and more people began to flock to his banner. Pundits took notice, Trump had a following. And what a following it had become. Most reputable commentators agree that Trumps followers fit into a rather narrow type category. Most seem to be lesser educated individuals, the GED crowd if you will, and are simply unhappy with their lot in life. They are the complainers in society, but they are generally not problem solvers. They will tell you everything that is wrong in the world, but will reject any plan to correct those wrongs, at least any plan other than their savior, Donald Trump. Oh boy, he sure does have some plans.

The Wall - If you've never heard of it then you are probably the only person in the world who hasn't. Mr. Trumps solution to illegal immigrants is to build a long wall at the southern border between The United States and Mexico. This wall would be some thirty feet tall and extend some 2000 miles along the entire border. And the best part of Donald's proposal is that he would "make Mexico pay for it!" Even though I am the eternal optimist, I still find more than a few problems with the practicality of "The Great Wall of America"...the least of which is that drug smugglers already dig a new tunnel under the border about every week now!

Ban Muslims - I just know you've heard that one...Donald Trump proposed that the United States place a ban on all Muslim immigrants entering the US, at least temporarily. This is supposedly in response to the growing terrorist threat. I won't write too much on that one, but practical does not appear to be in the plan anywhere. Oh, and he did say it "was only a suggestion"...

Rewrite all International Trade Agreements - Donald says current trade agreements are "unfair" to the US, and he would negotiate all new ones to better benefit our workers. This is supposed to be a solution for unemployment...

Overhaul the Tax Laws - since this one item has been a part of every single presidential campaign speech for fifty years, I'm not going to belabor it here. Let's just say that Trump has his own rhetorical version too, and as with his other proposals it is long on promises and very short on substance...

Anyway, I think we covered Trumps power asperations. In short he already exercises a certain power over a small portion of the electorate, but he wants it all. Donald Trump wants to "rule" your life through the power he believes he will gain from being elected President of the United States. To be frank, I do not believe that he understands that what he believes he can do as president is even remotely legal, let alone moral...

As always, feel free to comment.

Wednesday, June 8, 2016

The Donald vs The World


There is a phenomenon on the horizon. He is often referred to as "The Donald". Unless you have been in a coma for the last ten years or so you know immediately who I mean.
Me, I call him "the bully". He does not care what he says to anyone, or about anyone. He isn't afraid to demean or ridicule any one person, or group of people for that matter. His "campaign" is apparently based upon the simplest solutions for all our problems. "Bomb them, build a huge wall to keep them out, deport them". Sound familiar? It should, "The Donald" has said all that and more. He has ridiculed and slammed anyone who has the temerity to call him out, or simply disagree. The bottom line here seems to be, if you don't agree with him or revere him you are "a target"!
Donald Trump is a show man first and foremost. And he is very good at it. Make no mistake, he is intelligent. He knows exactly how to push the buttons of a large number of Americans, a group who is disillusioned, and angry with just about anything in their lives. The real problem surfaces when you look beyond all the rhetoric and simple solutions. Is there any substance to what he says? Not in my mind...all his antics before the camera generates media attention, and it sways the growing numbers of people who just want someone to tell them what they want to hear, that there is an end to all the craziness in the world.
There was a movie produced back in 1995 titled The American President. I loved it! One of the characters reminds me of Donald Trump. In fact, the Richard Dreyfuss portrayal of President Shepherds nemesis, Senator Bob Rumson, is eerily similar to what we now expect out of The Donalds mouth. Frankly it frightens me...writing such a character into a movie is entertaining, but seeing that character in real time is just too much. Can you really see Donald Trump leading our country?
God, I hope not...